TrackNifty
 

Tuesday, 22 April 2014

Nifty April 2014 series analysis forecast for 23 April 2014 - 22 April 2014

Nifty analysis for 22 APRIL 2014

Tomorrow is expiry day for April 2014 series. On the eve of expiry Nifty closed flat down 2 points at 6815.35. Day was lackluster with market breadth pointing equal weight-age of both bulls and bears. Many front line stocks closed in red like SBIN, DLF, ITC and some stocks made new series high right on the day prior to expiry day like LT, RELIANCE, ICICIBANK. This making of new series high is very important. LT being the prominent stock closed good healthy 1.8% higher after yesterday's 4% upmove.

VIX closed 3% down which is a good sign for tomorrow for bulls. Some minor internals are keeping markets from going above 6850.

FII/DII turnover remained sluggish again at higher levels. 

FII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MCX-SX in Capital Market Segment(Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 22-Apr-2014 2520.782357.85162.93
DII 22-Apr-2014 1074.261372.72-298.46

And in derivative segment FIIs again sold stock futures which they have been doing all throughout the series. They have in-fact bought Index futures for the last 5 days.



FII Derivatives turnover for April 2014 series (Cr)

INDEX FUTURES 436.41
INDEX OPTIONS 6727.74
STOCK FUTURES -3202.40
STOCK OPTIONS -20.60

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 22-APR-2014
BUY SELL OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES
149605
5104.44
122740
4181.36
478559
16289.29
INDEX OPTIONS
408054
13547.48
392869
13057.36
1538005
52300.27
STOCK FUTURES
414470
15003.99
425905
15422.23
1211396
43155.91
STOCK OPTIONS
59420
2147.62
58629
2115.14
66348
2386.96

Stock ideas update

No ideas to track

Trade update

We are holding 7000 CE but we are not counting on it.
Today we took fresh position in 6800CE and Nifty future, and exited 6850 PE with 10% loss.

http://nifty-trade.tracknifty.com/2014/04/nse-nifty-april-2014-series-trade-6.html

http://nifty-trade.tracknifty.com/2014/04/nse-nifty-april-2014-series-trade-7-22.html

http://nifty-trade.tracknifty.com/2014/04/nse-nifty-april-2014-series-trade-8-22.html

In this series we have booked 173% Option profit, and 200 Nifty points (100*2 lots).

Nifty forecast for 23 APRIL 2014

Nifty likely to go past 6850 and then fall back below 6850.

Advice for traders

Conservative traders can wait for Nifty to go past 6850 and then attack 6900 PE April 2014 series, and exit when Nifty falls back below 6850.

Risky traders can go for 6850 with stop loss of 6800 and then shorting at higher levels for target of below 6850.

Note
27 April 2014 - 6 May 2014 will present excellent money making opportunity. If interested contact now.

Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com

Sunday, 20 April 2014

Nifty April 2014 series analysis forecast for 21 April 2014 - 20 April 2014

Nifty analysis for 17th  APRIL 2014

Nifty closed 1.6% higher at 6779 with support coming across the board. IT and Banks both contributed to the upside. TATAMOTORS and HINDALCO were top gainers of 4% each. LT remained sluggish. Both LT and YESBANK have fallen to short term bearish territory. Both these stocks have remained the face of Nifty since Feb 2014 series when foundation of this rally was set. 

VIX remained flat. VIX is maintaining higher levels surprisingly. It is now in danger zone, and so risk in the markets have increased a lot.

In our forecast for 15th April 2014 we mentioned about Nifty to trade with bullish bias, but Nifty fell on both 15th and 16th. But it covered nearly all its losses on 17th April 2014.

FII turnover was low, as DII selling was low too. Last few days have seen FII buying decreasing sharply at higher levels.

FII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MCX-SX in Capital Market Segment(Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 17-Apr-2014 3360.342926.94433.4
DII 17-Apr-2014 1531.021653.77-122.75

And in derivative segment they sold stock futures after continuous buying from last 6 days or so. 



FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 17-APR-2014
BUY SELL OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES
103011
3465.44
81728
2749.00
401545
13591.19
INDEX OPTIONS
468268
15544.17
453890
15058.90
1573063
53194.43
STOCK FUTURES
241539
8589.05
247743
8893.27
1123772
39693.02
STOCK OPTIONS
80801
2845.21
81287
2854.53
66766
2357.04

Stock ideas update
No ideas to track now. Renuka is going sideways and downside looks protected now with too many narrow range sessions.

Trade update

In this series we have booked 183% option profit in our UNITECH 17.5 CE.

We are holding out Nifty longs with 2 lots of Nifty Futures at average price of 6712.
We are holding out Nifty 7000 CE at average price of 13/-.

Nifty forecast for 21 APRIL 2014
Nifty is expected to trade higher towards 6850.

Advice for traders
Trade with range-bound bias of 6850 - 6800 until expiry.

Note 
If you want to make extremely good money until 6th May 2014, contact us at admin@tracknifty.com.

Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com

Monday, 14 April 2014

Nifty April 2014 series analysis forecast for 15 April 2014 - 14 April 2014

Nifty analysis for 11  APRIL 2014

Nifty closed 20 points down after giving sharp +100 closing on 9th April 2014. 

IT index was used to pull Nifty higher as support was missing from BankNifty this time.  IT index closed with 1.5% gains and BankNifty closed with around 1% loss. MidCaps shine with stocks like MRPL, JPINFRA, HDIL, GUJNRECOKE, NHPC moving higher. MidCaps are now catching up with full flow. One can make good money with investing in some good left over stocks.

VIX is now standing up at above 29. Such higher VIX levels are seen during big market falls. Such high VIX values were seen during April-May 2009 rally before election results. 

Selling pressure was normal. But this time selling came from FIIs as DIIs end up as net buyers. 

FII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MCX-SX in Capital Market Segment (Crores)               
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 11-Apr-2014 3790.374152.66-362.29
DII 11-Apr-2014 1727.611362.69364.92

And in derivative segment FIIs are constantly selling stock futures.


Stock ideas update

TATASTEEL has achieved its target of 420 with ease. Rest all stocks are good now like JETAIRWAYS, DENABANK, POLARIS etc.

Nifty forecast for 15 APRIL 2014

We are now in buying TIME band as described in our TIME forecast. So, we are expecting markets to trade with bullish bias without any weakness.

Advice for traders

Buy Nifty at market open for spot target of 6849 with stop loss of 6723.

Note

We have posted our performance here : 
http://blog.tracknifty.com/2014/04/tracknifty-performance-at-glance-14.html

Interested traders can contact us for best trading ides at nominal fees. 

We have identified one very good stock which can be used to make ample money till 5th May 2014.


Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com

TrackNifty performance at a glance - 14 April 2014

Hi,

We re-started our product called TrackNifty in 2014 after successful completion of more than 5 years. In 2008 we started blog called MarketsUnwinded, then closed it. Then we started another blog called NiftyTracker and closed it in 2013. This is our fresh start. When ever we undergo big changes in our strategy building and market analysis, we restart from scratch. This time we introduced a revolutionary way involving TIME based forecast, and using it with fair results so far.

Below is our performance so far : 

1. Feb 2014 series : -2 Nifty points and -39% Option gains

2. Mar 2014 series : 99 Nifty points + 776% Option gains

3. Apr 2014 series : 65 Nifty points + 183% Option gains so far

Complete follows up can be reached at our respective vertical : 
http://nifty-trade.tracknifty.com/

We are the only one who gives clear calls without hiding anything.

If you are interested in real money making and enjoy the sheer thrill of Option Trading, and Nifty future trading, then join us without delay at cheapest un-believable prices.

Drop us an email at admin@tracknifty.com .

Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com

Wednesday, 2 April 2014

Nifty April 2014 series analysis forecast for 3 April 2014 - 2 April 2014

Nifty analysis for 02 APRIL 2014

Nifty made new high for straight 6th day in a row with closing at 6746.50 led by all round buying. Major buying came in PSU Banks and Realty stocks. CNX PSU BANK index closed with gain of 3.42% and CNX REALTY index closed with gain of 2.27%. 


In yesterday's report we wrongly mentioned about today's range as 6696 - 6700 instead of 6696 - 6770. Today Nifty made high of 6763 just short of 6770.


1st and 2nd April proved to be fairly volatile days as mentioned in our TIME forecast.


Highlight of the day 


1. ITC which fall further to make a low of 340

2. VIX instead of cooling rose 2.55% to close at 21.22, as VIX keep on rising, market range will increase, big volatile days are building up
3. RANBAXY rose 9% to close at 404.

FII:DII ratio is now in check with good built up seen in stock futures. First session is seeing DII selling, followed by FII buying. 


FII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MCX-SX in Capital Market Segment
(In Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 02-Apr-2014 4650.194055.52594.67
DII 02-Apr-2014 1455.931927.71-471.78

 At the derivative front, FIIs built up long positions in stock futures. This built up of long positions in stock futures and in all segments at higher levels is a good sign. This means higher levels will be hold for some more days and new highs will be seen. Nifty future premium remained in 30-40 points at 38 points. Only 1.45% rise in OI was seen in Nifty futures.


FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR APR-2014 (Cr)

INDEX FUTURES 413.22
INDEX OPTIONS 1838.92
STOCK FUTURES 840.85
STOCK OPTIONS 31.59



FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 02-APR-2014
BUY SELL OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES
46355
1556.83402741331.7938853513095.06
INDEX OPTIONS 2404397956.472187307225.88133892945098.90
STOCK FUTURES 1068953890.63968213483.69107730737337.31
STOCK OPTIONS 368331253.81365371242.39381881340.09

Stock ideas update

In March 2014 we mentioned about JETAIRWAYS , DENABANK in this post : 

http://blog.tracknifty.com/2014/03/stock-ideas-with-jetairways-denabank.html

Today JETAIRWAYS zoomed 14% to hit all targets in a flash without hitting stop loss.

DENABANK too is now knocking at target of 64 without hitting stop loss. 

We mentioned about POLARIS, TATASTEEL few days back in this post : 

http://blog.tracknifty.com/2014/03/stock-ideas-polaris-tatasteel-31-march.html
POLARIS zoomed 6.8% to make a high of 217 without hitting stop loss. 
TATASTEEL is slowly inching towards its target of 420.

Nifty forecast for 03 APRIL 2014

Nifty is expected to rise in continuation towards 6900 slowly.


Advice for traders

Use any dip towards 6734 for long positions. Range seen : 6734 - 6800.


Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com

Tuesday, 1 April 2014

Nifty April 2014 series analysis forecast for 2 April 2014 - 1 April 2014

Nifty analysis for 1 April 2014

Nifty opened with gap up and as mentioned in previous report, it traded with negative bias entire day, and moved up with some late buying coming at lower levels. Today's movement was quite similar to last day's movement. 

BankNifty was the major loser closing -1.21%, IT index was used to keep markets floating at higher levels with closing of 1.52%. 

It was overall dull day without any significant action seen. VIX which soared yesterday because of today's RBI announcement cooled off by 4.34%. 

FIIs were net buyers but overall FII/DII action was non-event. 

FII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MCX-SX in Capital Market Segment
(In Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 1-Apr-2014 3568.873183.21385.66
DII 1-Apr-2014 1158.871406.75-247.88

 At derivative front, FIIs were net buyers in all segments but turnover remained less than 100Cr in each. Stock futures saw 3rd consecutive buying day with total turnover of this series now standing at 433.9. Nifty future premium now stands at 35 points.


FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR APR-2014

INDEX FUTURES 188.17
INDEX OPTIONS 1108.34
STOCK FUTURES 433.90
STOCK OPTIONS 20.17



FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 1-APR-2014
BUY SELL OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES
64667
2159.68
63650
2100.61
379306
12718.82
INDEX OPTIONS
359063
11839.60
358437
11746.73
1266042
42437.51
STOCK FUTURES
100203
3611.07
97678
3521.52
1059927
36295.59
STOCK OPTIONS
46515
1537.68
46400
1531.30
34378
1191.73

Stock ideas update

Polaris, TataSteel both  moved up as mentioned : 
http://blog.tracknifty.com/2014/03/stock-ideas-polaris-tatasteel-31-march.html

This upside is expected to continue.

Trade update

Today we took long position in Nifty and BankNifty options and kept holding our UNITECH 17.5 CE. Today Nifty holds yesterday's low successfully, which encouraged us to take long positions.

Nifty forecast for 2 April 2014

Nifty is expected to trade with bullish bias.

Advice for traders

In accordance with our yesterday's report, we waited for the closing session and then took long positions. Tomorrow Nifty is likely to trade upwards. Range seen 6696 - 6700.


Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com

Monday, 31 March 2014

Nifty April 2014 series analysis forecast for 1 April 2014 - 31 March 2014

Nifty analysis for 31 Mar 2014

Nifty opened with gap up and remained weak throughout the day as was fore-casted in our advice to traders section in previous report. Metal shares were hero of the day with Hindalco surpassing all expectations closing at 141.75 with a gain of 8.3%. Realty index was a near second registering gain of 2.86%. BankNifty closed flat and pressure on Nifty was due to FMCG stocks. ITC closed -1.6%. Technically it has formed a temporary top at 365. So some sideways movement is very likely. 

Highlight of the day was VIX which closed a massive 16% up at 21. Now markets have entered danger zone and big swings are coming in this series.

FII : DII ratio narrowed sharply in contrast to last day's data when FIIs bought 1362Cr against DII selling -208Cr. DIIs are still selling. They might start buying after sharp dip.

FII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MCX-SX in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 31-Mar-2014 4248.843305.98942.86
DII 31-Mar-2014 1358.081969.3-611.22


At derivative front FIIs were net sellers in all segments except stock futures. Nifty future remains stagnant at 35 points.

FII April 2014 series turnover so far (Cr)
INDEX FUTURES 129.11
INDEX OPTIONS 1015.47
STOCK FUTURES 344.36
STOCK OPTIONS 13.79


FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 31-MAR-2014
BUY SELL OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES
45064
1512.68
50400
1689.82
387783
12993.10
INDEX OPTIONS
256572
8380.09
256298
8391.33
1216162
40715.68
STOCK FUTURES
104588
3670.71
100354
3591.06
1058448
36193.48
STOCK OPTIONS
41985
1422.64
43853
1483.67
29485
1030.67

Stock ideas update

Polaris, TataSteel buying recommendation is posted today.
http://blog.tracknifty.com/2014/03/stock-ideas-polaris-tatasteel-31-march.html

Trade update

UNITECH 17.5 CE was purchased today, 
http://nifty-trade.tracknifty.com/2014/03/nse-april-2014-series-trade-1-31-mar.html

Nifty forecast for 1April 2014

Nifty is likely to remain weak as we are now in high volatility time band.
http://nifty-forecast.tracknifty.com/2014/03/nifty-time-and-technical-forecast-for.html

Advice for traders

If traders would have followed yesterday's advice, they would have made good money. Nifty after gap up opening went down to make low of 6662. 
If Nifty remains weak in first session, wait for closing hour, and then take long position. As there are chances of a red closing.


Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com