TrackNifty
 
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Tuesday, 29 April 2014

Nifty May 2014 series analysis forecast for 30 April 2014 - 29 April 2014

Nifty analysis for MAY 2014

Nifty closed sharply down at 6715.25 losing 46 points. It has closed in red 3rd time in a row. Today selling pressure was seen across the board with all sectors closed in red sharply. Metal index lost the most -2.76%. Hindalco, Tatasteel, Sail all lost ground quite sharply. 

Despite this fall VIX kept cooling off and -1% lower at 31.05. 

Highlight of the day is Rupee which appreciated around 0.50%. This is rupees 3rd consecutive appreciation despite market falling.

BankNifty closed -171 points down and IT index closed flat. FII buying increased today but still they didn't bother to hold the market.

FII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MCX-SX in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 29-MAY-2014 2736.042448.06287.98
DII 29-MAY-2014 853.041403.93-550.89

And in derivative segment they kept selling stock futures in continuation to their selling spree since April 2014 series. 


MAY 2014 SERIES TURNOVER ( Cr )
INDEX FUTURES -1597.45
INDEX OPTIONS 1379.24
STOCK FUTURES -1027.37
STOCK OPTIONS 181.29


FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR -MAY-2014
BUY SELL OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES
55073
1850.86
67524
2278.42
249096
8374.33
INDEX OPTIONS
157470
5263.64
168789
5696.26
1204231
40372.73
STOCK FUTURES
79274
2500.59
100610
3191.11
1213311
37546.15
STOCK OPTIONS
21672
720.39
21728
721.80
36403
1137.78

Stock ideas update

IDFC stock idea is posted here : 

http://blog.tracknifty.com/2014/04/idfc-may-2014-analysis-forecast-29-may.html

Trade update

We have taken a position today in Options for paid subscribers, and looking forward for big gains.

Nifty forecast for 30 MAY 2014

Nifty is likely to remain in selling mode with some bounce in morning session. 6753 is resistance for bears.

Advice for traders

Avoid selling even though market can fall more. Better is to wait for lower levels to buy. Still for intraday trades, one can try selling any bounce towards 6753 with stop loss of 6772 for target of 6700.

Note
Paid subscribers have started taking positions. Hurry up !

Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com

IDFC May 2014 analysis forecast - 29 May 2014

Hi,

IDFC has fallen from around 140 levels down to around 110 level.

110 level is very strong support and falling below it will bring it into bear market.

Seeing strength in all banking stocks, we recommend buying it with stop loss of 110 for target of 135+ in May 2014 .

Market is presenting very good opportunities.

If you are serious about making money, drop an email at admin@tracknifty.com .

Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com

Sunday, 27 April 2014

Nifty May 2014 series analysis forecast for 28 April 2014 - 25 April 2014

Hi,

April 2014 series has ended and much awaited May 2014 series has started. We predicted April 2014 series to expire at 6840 and it did expire exactly at 6840, although on expiry day we went a bit overstretched predicting 6860+ expiry.
http://nifty-expiry.tracknifty.com/2014/04/nifty-expiry-april-2014-series-update-2.html

So far we have made 341 Nifty points and 757% Option gains so far. We look forward to make more money in this series.
http://nifty-trade.tracknifty.com/2014/04/nifty-trading-performance-for-april.html

Nifty analysis for 25 APRIL 2014

Nifty closed -0.8% lower after falling 58 points to close at 6782.75. It was having problems in moving higher in April 2014 series, so pressure release was imminent. But still selling wasn't seen across the board as media, realty, psu-banks closed handsomely. FMCG took the hammering by -2%. 

BankNifty after moving 1% higher closed -0.67% lower. Highlight of the day was BankNifty 14700 CE which closed 185% higher despite BankNifty's red closing.

DII selling was no match for FII buying, or we can say FIIs weren't interested in holding the market. FII buying decreased considerably in last few days at higher levels. This might point towards a top formation in the offing.

FII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MCX-SX in Capital Market Segment(Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII25-Apr-20144618.364323.35295.01
DII25-Apr-20141055.591472.89-417.3

And in derivative segment they maintained their selling of stock futures which they did throughout April 2014 series.


FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR -APR-2014
BUYSELLOPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of contractsAmt in CroresNo. of contractsAmt in CroresNo. of contractsAmt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES
46742
1590.54
74000
2522.49
271532
9230.53
INDEX OPTIONS
230535
7889.25
196259
6617.29
1108439
37538.06
STOCK FUTURES
101569
3178.16
107153
3412.22
1209649
37774.90
STOCK OPTIONS
28868
947.90
25462
837.32
23149
718.69

Stock ideas update

No ideas to track

Trade update

No trades to track

Nifty forecast for 28 APRIL 2014

Nifty likely to remain range-bound between 6808 - 6747.

Advice for traders

Nifty is in no-trade zone. Any hesitation near 6808 can be sold with 20-30 points stop loss.

Note : New clients have started to join for May 2014 series. Hurry up to make great money until 6th May 2014.

Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com

Tuesday, 22 April 2014

Nifty April 2014 series analysis forecast for 23 April 2014 - 22 April 2014

Nifty analysis for 22 APRIL 2014

Tomorrow is expiry day for April 2014 series. On the eve of expiry Nifty closed flat down 2 points at 6815.35. Day was lackluster with market breadth pointing equal weight-age of both bulls and bears. Many front line stocks closed in red like SBIN, DLF, ITC and some stocks made new series high right on the day prior to expiry day like LT, RELIANCE, ICICIBANK. This making of new series high is very important. LT being the prominent stock closed good healthy 1.8% higher after yesterday's 4% upmove.

VIX closed 3% down which is a good sign for tomorrow for bulls. Some minor internals are keeping markets from going above 6850.

FII/DII turnover remained sluggish again at higher levels. 

FII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MCX-SX in Capital Market Segment(Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 22-Apr-2014 2520.782357.85162.93
DII 22-Apr-2014 1074.261372.72-298.46

And in derivative segment FIIs again sold stock futures which they have been doing all throughout the series. They have in-fact bought Index futures for the last 5 days.



FII Derivatives turnover for April 2014 series (Cr)

INDEX FUTURES 436.41
INDEX OPTIONS 6727.74
STOCK FUTURES -3202.40
STOCK OPTIONS -20.60

FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 22-APR-2014
BUY SELL OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES
149605
5104.44
122740
4181.36
478559
16289.29
INDEX OPTIONS
408054
13547.48
392869
13057.36
1538005
52300.27
STOCK FUTURES
414470
15003.99
425905
15422.23
1211396
43155.91
STOCK OPTIONS
59420
2147.62
58629
2115.14
66348
2386.96

Stock ideas update

No ideas to track

Trade update

We are holding 7000 CE but we are not counting on it.
Today we took fresh position in 6800CE and Nifty future, and exited 6850 PE with 10% loss.

http://nifty-trade.tracknifty.com/2014/04/nse-nifty-april-2014-series-trade-6.html

http://nifty-trade.tracknifty.com/2014/04/nse-nifty-april-2014-series-trade-7-22.html

http://nifty-trade.tracknifty.com/2014/04/nse-nifty-april-2014-series-trade-8-22.html

In this series we have booked 173% Option profit, and 200 Nifty points (100*2 lots).

Nifty forecast for 23 APRIL 2014

Nifty likely to go past 6850 and then fall back below 6850.

Advice for traders

Conservative traders can wait for Nifty to go past 6850 and then attack 6900 PE April 2014 series, and exit when Nifty falls back below 6850.

Risky traders can go for 6850 with stop loss of 6800 and then shorting at higher levels for target of below 6850.

Note
27 April 2014 - 6 May 2014 will present excellent money making opportunity. If interested contact now.

Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com

Sunday, 20 April 2014

Nifty April 2014 series analysis forecast for 21 April 2014 - 20 April 2014

Nifty analysis for 17th  APRIL 2014

Nifty closed 1.6% higher at 6779 with support coming across the board. IT and Banks both contributed to the upside. TATAMOTORS and HINDALCO were top gainers of 4% each. LT remained sluggish. Both LT and YESBANK have fallen to short term bearish territory. Both these stocks have remained the face of Nifty since Feb 2014 series when foundation of this rally was set. 

VIX remained flat. VIX is maintaining higher levels surprisingly. It is now in danger zone, and so risk in the markets have increased a lot.

In our forecast for 15th April 2014 we mentioned about Nifty to trade with bullish bias, but Nifty fell on both 15th and 16th. But it covered nearly all its losses on 17th April 2014.

FII turnover was low, as DII selling was low too. Last few days have seen FII buying decreasing sharply at higher levels.

FII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MCX-SX in Capital Market Segment(Rs. Crores)
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 17-Apr-2014 3360.342926.94433.4
DII 17-Apr-2014 1531.021653.77-122.75

And in derivative segment they sold stock futures after continuous buying from last 6 days or so. 



FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 17-APR-2014
BUY SELL OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES
103011
3465.44
81728
2749.00
401545
13591.19
INDEX OPTIONS
468268
15544.17
453890
15058.90
1573063
53194.43
STOCK FUTURES
241539
8589.05
247743
8893.27
1123772
39693.02
STOCK OPTIONS
80801
2845.21
81287
2854.53
66766
2357.04

Stock ideas update
No ideas to track now. Renuka is going sideways and downside looks protected now with too many narrow range sessions.

Trade update

In this series we have booked 183% option profit in our UNITECH 17.5 CE.

We are holding out Nifty longs with 2 lots of Nifty Futures at average price of 6712.
We are holding out Nifty 7000 CE at average price of 13/-.

Nifty forecast for 21 APRIL 2014
Nifty is expected to trade higher towards 6850.

Advice for traders
Trade with range-bound bias of 6850 - 6800 until expiry.

Note 
If you want to make extremely good money until 6th May 2014, contact us at admin@tracknifty.com.

Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com

Monday, 14 April 2014

Nifty April 2014 series analysis forecast for 15 April 2014 - 14 April 2014

Nifty analysis for 11  APRIL 2014

Nifty closed 20 points down after giving sharp +100 closing on 9th April 2014. 

IT index was used to pull Nifty higher as support was missing from BankNifty this time.  IT index closed with 1.5% gains and BankNifty closed with around 1% loss. MidCaps shine with stocks like MRPL, JPINFRA, HDIL, GUJNRECOKE, NHPC moving higher. MidCaps are now catching up with full flow. One can make good money with investing in some good left over stocks.

VIX is now standing up at above 29. Such higher VIX levels are seen during big market falls. Such high VIX values were seen during April-May 2009 rally before election results. 

Selling pressure was normal. But this time selling came from FIIs as DIIs end up as net buyers. 

FII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MCX-SX in Capital Market Segment (Crores)               
Category Date Buy Value Sell Value Net Value
FII 11-Apr-2014 3790.374152.66-362.29
DII 11-Apr-2014 1727.611362.69364.92

And in derivative segment FIIs are constantly selling stock futures.


Stock ideas update

TATASTEEL has achieved its target of 420 with ease. Rest all stocks are good now like JETAIRWAYS, DENABANK, POLARIS etc.

Nifty forecast for 15 APRIL 2014

We are now in buying TIME band as described in our TIME forecast. So, we are expecting markets to trade with bullish bias without any weakness.

Advice for traders

Buy Nifty at market open for spot target of 6849 with stop loss of 6723.

Note

We have posted our performance here : 
http://blog.tracknifty.com/2014/04/tracknifty-performance-at-glance-14.html

Interested traders can contact us for best trading ides at nominal fees. 

We have identified one very good stock which can be used to make ample money till 5th May 2014.


Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com

TrackNifty performance at a glance - 14 April 2014

Hi,

We re-started our product called TrackNifty in 2014 after successful completion of more than 5 years. In 2008 we started blog called MarketsUnwinded, then closed it. Then we started another blog called NiftyTracker and closed it in 2013. This is our fresh start. When ever we undergo big changes in our strategy building and market analysis, we restart from scratch. This time we introduced a revolutionary way involving TIME based forecast, and using it with fair results so far.

Below is our performance so far : 

1. Feb 2014 series : -2 Nifty points and -39% Option gains

2. Mar 2014 series : 99 Nifty points + 776% Option gains

3. Apr 2014 series : 65 Nifty points + 183% Option gains so far

Complete follows up can be reached at our respective vertical : 
http://nifty-trade.tracknifty.com/

We are the only one who gives clear calls without hiding anything.

If you are interested in real money making and enjoy the sheer thrill of Option Trading, and Nifty future trading, then join us without delay at cheapest un-believable prices.

Drop us an email at admin@tracknifty.com .

Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com