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Friday, 25 July 2014

Nifty analysis for 25 July 2014 and Nifty view forecast for 28 July 2014 - 25 July 2014



JULY 2014NIFTY FUTURE
(points)
OPTIONS
(%)
COMMODITIES*
(%)
STOCKS
(%)
BOOKED
Free132
Paid176
Free38.3
Paid162
Free-0.71
Paid
Free6.4
Paid
RUNNING
Free
Paid
Free
Paid
Free
Paid
* Commodity profits are converted to their NG equivalents.

Nifty analysis for 25 JULY 2014



Nifty shut shop closing 40 points down and below 7800. We are of the view that 7793 is an important level and any stability above or below it will open the way further towards the stream. 24-25 July were pressure dates about which we mentioned several times.


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Our derivative analysis is telling that Nifty should remain range-bound with bullish bias at higher end. 

Neural network analysis is telling that Nifty should remain up.


Combining all this , we can conclude that 7790 should be a strong turning point for markets towards upside. But as now a days markets are not following technicals fully, so 7790 should be the stop loss for longs and any stability below 7790 should be sold off very strongly.




Advance388Decline1162Unchanged48


Cash market turnover
Traded Volume (shares in lakh)Traded Value (Rs crores)
9,530.5418,437.30


FII trading activity on NSE,BSE and MCX-SX in Capital Market Segment(In Rs. Crores)
CategoryDateBuy ValueSell ValueNet Value
FII25-July-20143749.733624.22125.51
DII25-July-20141665.381875.40-210.02

Nifty future premium : -5 (disc)



Daily  Index and Stock futures trend


5 DAY (21 - 25 JULY 2014)
INDEX FUTURE 1140CR WEAK BULLISH
STOCK FUTURE 1589.52CR BULLISH

3 DAY (21 - 25 JULY 2014)
INDEX FUTURE-112.73CRRANGEBOUND
STOCK FUTURE239.24CRWEAK BULLISH


1 DAY 24 - 25 JULY 2014
INDEX FUTURE-31.27CRRANGEBOUND
STOCK FUTURE-123.68CRWEAK BEARISH


JULY 2014 SERIES TURNOVER ( Cr )
INDEX FUTURES -228.41
INDEX OPTIONS 2651.41
STOCK FUTURES 3909.52
STOCK OPTIONS -220.36


FII DERIVATIVES STATISTICS FOR 25-JULY-2014
BUY SELL OPEN INTEREST AT THE END OF THE DAY
No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores No. of contracts Amt in Crores
INDEX FUTURES 627942441.80636462473.0739865215491.91
INDEX OPTIONS
495606
19224.91
490872
19002.74
1837866
71492.18
STOCK FUTURES
308639
11202.07
304820
11142.84
1520865
54745.96
STOCK OPTIONS
84323
3272.42
86906
3396.10
119936
4456.75

Nifty forecast for 28 JULY 2014

Nifty should trade in narrow range with bullish bias forming base at 7800, and there are chances of strong up move in later half if 7800 forms a base.
Advice for traders

Go long above 7800, and sell below 7750. Don't trade in between or trade light with range-bound view in the range of 7750 - 7800.

Buying zone : Above 7800

Note : New series is starting, and as always we make great money in the start of the series. So, don't waste time and join fast.

Anjum S Khan
admin@tracknifty.com
Admin/Analyst
TrackNifty.com